In 2008, new energy vehicles began to surge under the impetus of soaring oil prices. In 2009, the "Automotive Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan" proposed that by 2011, new energy vehicle sales accounted for about 5% of total passenger vehicle sales. Automobile companies ’new energy strategic planning and R & D achievements have become an important area of ​​domestic media for a long time. content. By the beginning of 2010, "actively promote new energy vehicles" was included in the "Government Work Report", and a new energy vehicle industry's nugget movement was fully launched from top to bottom.
The development path of electric vehicles is unknown, but the investment heat wave is choppy
If it is said that more new energy vehicles were still in the research and development and test stage, then, after the State Grid and China Southern Grid deployed electric vehicle charging stations in the country, the petrochemical giant CNOOC invested 5 billion yuan to build a battery production line for electric vehicles. Sinopec announced the addition of charging function for its gas station in Beijing, which really opened the prelude to the stage of market promotion of electric vehicles.
There is no doubt that if electric cars are to truly go to private consumers, it is necessary to coordinate the interests of all parties including electric power companies, oil companies, automobile companies, battery production companies, local governments and charging station investors. Development path to jointly solve the constraints that affect the industrialization of electric vehicles.
Before the large-scale demonstration operation and promotion of electric vehicles, one of the core issues is that the new energy vehicle industry plan has not been introduced, various detailed standards have not been established, and the development path of electric vehicles is not clear. In the end, domestic electric vehicles will be charged in a charging way like a way of refueling in the future, or they will follow a route similar to mobile phones for batteries. The market is still confused. The construction of charging facilities is also inseparable from the specification and guidance of relevant standards. Although Sinopec and CNOOC have the channel advantage of more than 30,000 gas stations, before the national standard is introduced, the mode in which the charging station is operated is also a problem they have to face.
The large-scale production of electric vehicles inevitably needs to go through a long process, in which the formulation of various industrial standards is a trivial but insurmountable stage. The "New Energy Vehicle Development Plan", which should have been issued at the end of March 2010, has been postponed repeatedly, and it is also related to the lack of current standards. However, if the development path of the new energy vehicle industry is not clear, it actually means that stakeholders such as manufacturers, governments, and consumers face huge uncertainties when making decisions, thereby affecting their enthusiasm for investment and burying waste of resources. Hidden dangers.
The high manufacturing cost of electric vehicles and the long charging time are two major difficulties that hinder the development of electric vehicles. Is it waiting for a revolutionary breakthrough in power battery technology to significantly reduce battery production costs, effectively solve the problem of fast charging, or find another way to find a new solution?
According to reports, American "Better Place" company and Tokyo rental giant Japan Transportation Company launched battery-replaceable electric vehicles in Tokyo as a service for taxi operations. This is the first time in the world that a battery-replaceable electric vehicle has been put into operation as a taxi. Obviously this is different from the current development direction of most automobile manufacturers to develop plug-in electric vehicles.
The development path of electric vehicles with replaceable batteries. By separating batteries from electric vehicles and buying electric vehicles without power batteries, the price can be comparable to or lower than that of traditional energy vehicles. In the use phase, the battery depreciation is paid every time the battery is replaced. And electricity charges, so that ordinary users of electric vehicles do not need to wait for charging at the charging station, and also solve the problem of long charging time.
A few days ago, the domestic auto company Chery and the United States "Better Place" signed a cooperation agreement to jointly develop mass-produced replaceable battery electric vehicles, and explore the cooperation model between auto companies and battery network operators.
Jianghuai Automobile also plans to adopt the "battery rental" model for electric vehicles in Hefei trial operation, of course, the premise is that the power battery is separated from the electric vehicle.
Whether China's future electric vehicles will be in plug-in mode or battery replacement mode will be inseparable from the policies and standards of new energy vehicles.
Although, up to now, China has formulated and issued a total of 42 national and industry standards related to new energy vehicles, of which 22 have been listed as special inspection standards for new energy vehicle product access. However, because the electric vehicle charging station has not yet established a unified business model, the "General Requirements for Electric Vehicle Charging Stations" issued as a national standard on April 28 only covers the requirements for the common parts of different charging modes. Special requirements under specific modes (such as the battery charging site and equipment requirements may be included in the sub-box charging mode) and some extended functions of the charging station (such as battery detection, etc.), need to be specified separately.
Seeing the development of new energy automobile industry in a deeper sense
It is true that energy and transportation are the two cornerstones of modern society, and changes involving energy and transportation are among the most fundamental changes in modern society. In this sense, the development of electric vehicles is not as simple as replacing internal combustion engine vehicles on the road with motor-driven vehicles, but should be an opportunity for social energy and transportation strategic planning and reorganization. With this opportunity, we can complete profound changes to the social energy structure and transportation system. The development plan for the new energy automobile industry should be an overall plan that includes the energy structure, power transmission network, charging and related infrastructure, new technologies for electric vehicles, and the cyclic development of the new electric economy.
Today, the reason why we propose to develop new energy vehicles and take electric vehicles as an important development direction is to solve the problems of environmental pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. However, if power companies still rely on non-clean and non-recyclable methods to generate electricity, it is tantamount to transferring the environmental problems of automobiles to power companies. Therefore, the proportion of clean energy in the energy structure should become our primary concern.
At the same time, when a large number of electric vehicles appear, it will bring fundamental changes to the electricity demand characteristics of the entire society, and then challenge the smart grid technology. How to avoid a lot of wasted electricity during the low tide of electricity demand and balance regional power resources? The problems we must solve before we enter the era of popularization of electric vehicles.
For the government department, in the development of the new energy vehicle industry, its overall planning and resource coordination and allocation have great responsibilities. The breakthrough in electric vehicle technology not only depends on the enterprise itself, but also requires more guidance from the government. The government should coordinate enterprise resources on the overall development level, carry out joint research, and achieve an overall breakthrough. The layout of the charging network that supports the operation of electric vehicles also requires the scientific planning of the government and relevant agencies in order to make a breakthrough in infrastructure construction.
Today, our company has formed a super sensitive sense of smell in a highly competitive market environment and is full of confidence and desire for the future of the new energy vehicle industry. While we call on the government to accelerate the pace of development and development planning of the new energy vehicle industry, we also call on the whole society to slow down the pace and give us more time and space to think.
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