5G commercialization is generally expected to begin after 2020. According to the Ericsson Mobility Report, there will be 9 billion mobile connections and 6.2 billion users worldwide in 2022, of which 5G users will exceed 500 million, covering 15% of the global population. Although the current issues such as network architecture and frequency range have yet to be decided by international telecommunications organizations or business alliances, major telecom vendors in various countries are ready to introduce new technologies.
In addition to high transmission speeds, the biggest advantage of 5G is the extremely low data transmission delay time (below 1ms), which brings many new possibilities, especially in the field of autonomous driving. ABI Research believes that the introduction of 5G will be gradual, and LTE will remain the main force in at least 10 years in the future. In addition, 5G's construction costs and required network density are much higher than the previous generation of LTE.
• The European Union has decided to develop 5G broadband network technology using the 694~790Mhz frequency segment. Major telecom service providers will be able to obtain the right to use by the end of June 2020. In addition, the issue of unified facility construction plans and the formation of the 5G Development Alliance is also under discussion.
• The UK government announced its 5G development strategy in March 2017. Private companies such as Gigaclear have begun to allow large and medium-sized companies to pay for trials of 5G high-speed networks.
• Verizon Wireless, the nation's largest wireless communications service provider, has partnered with South Korea's Samsung to deploy and test 5G in five US cities. T-Mobile US Inc also plans to launch 5G in 2019, and in 2020. Complete the national structure.
• China's 5G development is led by the government and is based on the China Manufacturing 2025 plan. In March of this year, the world's largest 5G trial network was built. On June 5, 2017, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology publicly solicited opinions on the use of 3300MHz~3600MHz and 4800MHz~5000MHz frequency bands for 5G (IMT-2020). At the same time, China's 5G standard completed the first basic version at the end of 2017.
• Several telecom companies headed by KT in South Korea collaborated with Ericsson to build and test 5G lines for the Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, Gangwon Province in 2018.
• Japan's telecom vendors, including NTT Docomo, KDDI and Softbank, will officially offer 5G communication technology services in 2020, and nationwide deployments are planned for 2023. The total investment scale reached 5 trillion yen (about 45.7 billion US dollars).
• In Russia, 5G development is one of the priorities of the Russian “digital economy†program. According to its road map and the work plan of major telecom operators, the 5G pilot zone will be set up in 11 Russian cities during the World Foot Week in 2018. It will be officially built in 8 million population cities nationwide by 2020 and will be implemented in 2025. The number of cities has increased to 15. In addition, in 2021, the capital of Moscow will have the first batch of 5G users, reaching 520,000, and will grow to 780,000 by 2022.
Rostelecom estimates that the total investment in Russia is about 1 mega ruble (about 17.1 billion US dollars), about 3 to 4 times that of LTE on the road in 2011. The constructed network density is 30 to 50 times that of the previous generation.
Russian leading telecom operators such as Megafon and Tele2 have already expressed their interest in organizing business alliances, while MTS and VimpelCom are still waiting to see.
Megafon expects to receive 5G frequencies at the end of June 2017, including 3.4~3.6Ghz and 3.6Ghz~3.8Ghz test frequencies, and 24.25~25.25Ghz mobile deployment frequency. MTS plans to complete commercialization preparation before 5G standardization, and cooperated with Ericsson to complete the test of technology on mobile phones in mid-April this year, and cooperated to plan the 5G pilot zone of World Foot in 2018.
The Russian Ministry of Communications pointed out that the process will be dominated by major domestic manufacturers and business alliances. The government will avoid interference with the construction of hardware facilities, focusing on environmental norms, personnel training, safeguarding the interests of investors and stimulating relevant research (development).
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